Why Are Filipinos So Poor?
By F. Sionil José

What did South Korea look like after the Korean War in 1953? Battered, poor – but look at Korea now. In the Fifties, the traffic in Taipei was composed of bicycles and army trucks, the streets flanked by tile-roofed low buildings. Jakarta was a giant village and Kuala Lumpur a small village surrounded by jungle and rubber plantations. Bangkok was criss-crossed with canals, the tallest structure was the Wat Arun, the Temple of the Sun, and it dominated the city’s skyline. Rice fields all the way from Don Muang airport – then a huddle of galvanized iron-roofed bodegas, to the Victory monument. Visit these cities today and weep – for they are more beautiful, cleaner and prosperous than Manila. In the Fifties and Sixties we were the most envied country in Southeast Asia. Remember further that when Indonesia got its independence in 1949, it had only 114 university graduates compared with the hundreds of Ph.D.’s that were already in our universities. Why then were we left behind? The economic explanation is simple. We did not produce cheaper and better products.

The basic question really is why we did not modernize fast enough and thereby doomed our people to poverty. This is the harsh truth about us today. Just consider these: some 15 years ago a survey showed that half of all grade school pupils dropped out after grade 5 because they had no money to continue schooling. Thousands of young adults today are therefore unable to find jobs. Our natural resources have been ravaged and they are not renewable. Our tremendous population increase eats up all of our economic gains. There is hunger in this country now; our poorest eat only once a day. But this physical poverty is really not as serious as the greater poverty that afflicts us and this is the poverty of the spirit.

Why then are we poor? More than ten years ago, James Fallows, editor of the Atlantic Monthly, came to the Philippines and wrote about our damaged culture which, he asserted, impeded our development. Many disagreed with him but I do find a great deal of truth in his analysis.This is not to say that I blame our social and moral malaise on colonialism alone. But we did inherit from Spain a social system and an elite that, on purpose, exploited the masses. Then, too, in the Iberian peninsula, to work with one’s hands is frowned upon and we inherited that vice as well. Colonialism by foreigners may no longer be what it was, but we are now a colony of our own elite.

We are poor because we are poor – this is not a tautology. The culture of poverty is self-perpetuating. We are poor because our people are lazy. I pass by a slum area every morning – dozens of adults do nothing but idle, gossip and drink. We do not save. Look at the Japanese and how they save in spite of the fact that the interest given them by their banks is so little. They work very hard too.

We are great show-offs. Look at our women, how overdressed, over-coiffed they are, and Imelda epitomizes that extravagance. Look at our men, their manicured nails, their personal jewelry, their diamond rings. Yabang – that is what we are, and all that money expended on status symbols, on yabang. How much better if it were channeled into production.

We are poor because our nationalism is inward looking. Under its guise we protect inefficient industries and monopolies. We did not pursue agrarian reform like Japan and Taiwan. It is not so much the development of the rural sector, making it productive and a good market as well. Agrarian reform releases the energies of the landlords who, before the reform, merely waited for the harvest. They become entrepreneurs, the harbingers of change.

Our nationalist icons like Claro M. Recto and Lorenzo Tanada opposed agrarian reform, the single most important factor that would have altered the rural areas and lifted the peasant from poverty. Both of them were merely anti-American.

And finally, we are poor because we have lost our ethical moorings. We condone cronyism and corruption and we don’t ostracize or punish the crooks in our midst. Both cronyism and corruption are wasteful but we allow their practice because our loyalty is to family or friend, not to the larger good.

We can tackle our poverty in two very distinct ways. The first choice: a nationalist revolution, a continuation of the revolution in 1896. But even before we can use violence to change inequities in our society, we must first have a profound change in our way of thinking, in our culture. My regret about EDSA is that change would have been possible then with a minimum of bloodshed. In fact, a revolution may not be bloody at all if something like EDSA would present itself again. Or a dictator unlike Marcos.

The second is through education, perhaps a longer and more complex process. The only problem is that it may take so long and by the time conditions have changed, we may be back where we were, caught up with this tremendous population explosion which the Catholic Church exacerbates in its conformity with doctrinal purity. We are faced with a growing compulsion to violence, but even if the communists won, they will rule as badly because they will be hostage to the same obstructions in our culture, the barkada, the vaulting egos that sundered the revolution in 1896, the Huk revolt in 1949-53.

To repeat, neither education nor revolution can succeed if we do not internalize new attitudes, new ways of thinking. Let us go back to basics and remember those American slogans: A Ford in every garage. A chicken in every pot. Money is like fertilizer: to do any good it must be spread around. Some Filipinos, taunted wherever they are, are shamed to admit they are Filipinos. I have, myself, been embarrassed to explain, for instance, why Imelda, her children and the Marcos cronies are back, and in positions of power. Are there redeeming features in our country that we can be proud of? Of course, lots of them. When people say, for instance, that our corruption will never be banished, just remember that Arsenio Lacson as mayor of Manila and Ramon Magsaysay as president brought a clean government. We do not have the classical arts that brought Hinduism and Buddhism to continental and archipelagic Southeast Asia, but our artists have now ranged the world, showing what we have done with Western art forms, enriched with our own ethnic traditions. Our professionals, not just our domestics, are all over, showing how accomplished a people we are!

Look at our history. We are the first in Asia to rise against Western colonialism, the first to establish a republic. Recall the Battle of Tirad Pass and glory in the heroism of Gregorio del Pilar and the 48 Filipinos who died but stopped the Texas Rangers from capturing the president of that First Republic. Its equivalent in ancient history is the Battle of Thermopylae where the Spartans and their king Leonidas, died to a man, defending the pass against the invading Persians. Rizal – what nation on earth has produced a man like him? At 35, he was a novelist, a poet, an anthropologist, a sculptor, a medical doctor, a teacher and martyr. We are now 80 million and in another two decades we will pass the 100 million mark.

Eighty million – that is a mass market in any language, a mass market that should absorb our increased production in goods and services – a mass market which any entrepreneur can hope to exploit, like the proverbial oil for the lamps of China.

Japan was only 70 million when it had confidence enough and the wherewithal to challenge the United States and almost won. It is the same confidence that enabled Japan to flourish from the rubble of defeat in World War II.

I am not looking for a foreign power for us to challenge. But we have a real and insidious enemy that we must vanquish, and this enemy is worse than the intransigence of any foreign power. We are our own enemy. And we must have the courage, the will, to change ourselves.

2010 is the light at the end of the tunnel for many reasons; the economy is showing a rebound in many parts of the world, especially in the U.S. and Asia; Iran is at the cusp of a pro-democracy revolution, and the popular attention to climate change is likely to spread even more widely.

In many ways all 3 developments are wars of attrition: they all test our commitment to adapt and overcome. How we come out of the troubled economic times depends largely on how resourceful, creative and resilient we are. How much success the pro-democracy movement in Iran achieves will depend largely on how people inside and outside of that country will tolerate the current regime. And how far we collectively go in reducing the negative effects of climate change will depend squarely on how effective we each are in making it the primary issue of our time.

All 3 developments impact our lives moving forward. Our quality of life depends on our shared prosperity with others; genuine democracy in Iran has the potential of spreading less extremism and more security for all of us; and a global effort to attend to the environment is key to our survivability as a species.

May the light of 2010 shine brightly. Thank you for reading my posts all these past months. May we find ways to work together and act together, in addition to being kindred in spirit.

The Ateneo Video Open (AVO), now on its eleventh year, is an annual nationwide film competition open to collegiate-level filmmakers. It is organized by the Loyola Film Circle, the Ateneo de Manila University’s premiere film organization.

The event aims to highlight the effective use of aesthetically pleasing films as media for social discourse.

There are four categories: short narrative, music video, documentary, and experimental.

Visit the official website: http://ateneovideoopen11.multiply.com to view the rules, regulations and mechanics. Application forms are also available in the website. Deadline of entries is on January 22. 2010.

For inquiries, contact the AVO Team at ateneovideoopen11@yahoo.com and at ateneovideoopen11@gmail.com, Idge Mendiola (0916-228-45-67), or Jio Igual (0917-327-70-55).

Christmastime eruption looms: Brown ash column signals big bang

By Rey M. Nasol
Inquirer Southern Luzon
First Posted 23:14:00 12/23/2009

LEGAZPI CITY—Mayon Volcano Wednesday hurled huge ash columns as high as one kilometer into the sky as the angry mountain threatened to unleash its first major Christmastime eruption in 138 years.

“Parameters are high up to now and the intensifying activity might force us to raise the alert level to its highest,” resident volcanologist Eduardo Laguerta said Wednesday.

“But it would happen only when Mayon shoots a straight ash column containing pyroclastic materials and molten, burning rocks as big as houses or buses, from its crater, accompanied by intense rumbling and jittering of the ground felt as far as this city,” Laguerta said.

Mayon has had a history of 49 eruptions in 400 years, but only three of them—excluding the current series of blasts—occurred at a time corresponding to the Christmas season in the Philippines. This was in 1868, 1871 and 1888.

The 1871 blast killed three people, blanketing Legazpi, Camalig and Guinobatan with ash, according to the records of the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs). The 1868 and 1888 eruptions killed no one.

One of the deadliest of the country’s 22 active volcanoes, the 2,460-meter Mayon shot up pillars of ash into the cloudy sky 66 times in the last 24 hours, accompanied by 1,059 volcanic earthquakes—slightly less than the previous day, Phivolcs said.

Volcanologists said alert level 5—the highest state of alert—could be declared anytime as they waited for one major sign—a chocolate-colored mass of ash column shooting straight up into the air as high as 10-15 km from the crater.

Alert level 4 is currently enforced. It means a major eruption could happen within hours or days. Level 5 means a hazardous eruption is in progress.

“The earthquakes and tremors, the gas output and those rumbling and booming sounds and series of mild ash explosions … are the parameters which point to a higher percentage of a hazardous eruption happening,” Laguerta said.

Wells drying up

Phivolcs is verifying reports that wells are drying up in the villages of Maninila, Mabalod and Masarawag in Guinobatan town, on the western part of Mayon, and in Barangay Buang, Tabaco City, on the northeast.

An uneasy behavior was detected among animals in July when alert level 2 was raised.

Laguerta said about 20 million cubic meters of ash and lava had already reached a distance of 5 km downslope, while fine “irritating” ashes fell as far as the town of Polangui, but mainly affecting the towns of Guinobatan and Camalig.

The volume of ash and lava so far emitted is enough to fill the equivalent of 80,000 Olympic-size swimming pools (250 cu m/swimming pool), experts said.

Laguerta also said Mayon’s past eruptions dumped at least 50 million cubic meters and possibly even as high as 150 million cubic meters of volcanic materials along its slopes.

Phivolcs Director Renato Solidum said many of the 1,059 earthquakes detected during the past 24-hour observation hit maximum deflections in the seismograph. Harmonic tremors were also continuously recorded.

The sulfur dioxide emission rate remained elevated, at an average of 6,737 tons per day from Tuesday to early Wednesday.

During cloud breaks, 66 ash explosions were observed, the peak height of 1 km being occurring at 4:21 p.m. on Tuesday. Booming and rumbling sounds were intermittently heard.

Danger zones

The lava front has reached about 5 km downslope from the summit, Phivolcs said.

It reiterated that the extended danger zone from the summit of 8 km on the southern sector and 7 km on the northern sector should be free from human activity.

The Philippine Army-Philippine National Police Task Force Mayon is conducting a census of people who keep coming back to their homes despite the volcano’s very abnormal condition.

“Because they cannot be told to stay at their designated evacuation centers, they would be asked to sign a waiver for risking their lives there,” said Capt. Razaleigh G. Bansawan, spokesperson of the task force.

The Provincial Disaster Coordinating Council (PDCC) has yet to approve the task force plan on waivers.

Total ban

Bansawan said the “no human activity” policy inside the danger zones was part of Gov. Joey Salceda’s zero-casualty goal.

Initial data showed dozens of residents were still at Mabinit, Legazpi City, within the extended danger zone.

Salceda has recommended a total ban on people within the danger zones. “If you are there and Mayon violently erupts, you are dead, so what is the use of a waiver?” he said.

“It is better to stay away from the volcano while there is still time … After all, the government will help them rebuild their homes, farms and their lives.”

Despite the risk of an imminent explosive eruption, some residents plan to go back to their villages for traditional Christmas Eve family gatherings. Others want to retrieve their livestock or harvest crops.

DoH moves

The Department of Health (DoH) has provided P6 million for medicines and portable toilets for distribution to all evacuation centers.

The DoH plans to distribute tents to decongest the temporary shelters.

Solidum said Mayon’s increasing activity could lead to a major eruption.

“It has intensified since we hoisted alert level 4, and there have been new explosions,” Solidum said.

“The tendency of the volcano is that the pressure is getting stronger and stronger and this could lead to a major explosion … Mayon remains in a very critical level.”

When Mayon last erupted in 2006, it oozed lava and ash for two months. No one died directly from the eruption, but a typhoon later dislodged tons of volcanic debris, killing over 1,000 people.

The first recorded eruption of Mayon occurred in 1616. Its 1814 eruption buried Cagsawa church. With reports from Alcuin Papa in Manila, Inquirer Research, Associated Press and Agence France-Presse

Go here for a slideshow.

Go watch the British coverage in full here. It is the last link on the list. The site also has post-fight interviews.

(UPDATE) Pacquiao wins 7th world title

abs-cbnNEWS.com | 11/15/2009 1:39 PM

Referee stops fight as Pacquiao dominates the bout

MANILA – Pound-for-pound king and now WBO welterweight champion Manny Pacquiao made boxing history after defeating Puerto Rican Miguel Cotto in their “Firepower” bout Saturday at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada (Sunday in Manila).

Click here for video highlights.

Pacquiao defeated Cotto after referee Kenny Bayles stopped the already lopsided contest via technical knockout in Round 12.

The Filipino boxing superstar is the first fighter to win seven world titles in seven different weight divisions. He also won the WBC diamond belt.

Pacquiao’s record improves to 50-3-2, with 37 knockouts while Cotto’s record slumps to 34-2, with 27 KOs.

Cotto started Round 1 by connecting a jab to Pacquiao but Pacman jabs back. Cotto connects with a left hook which threw Pacman back a bit. Cotto jabs again. Pacman tries to figure Cotto. Cotto seems to be jabbing effectively while Pacquiao seemed to be taking his time. Pacman then connects with 1-2. Pacman tries to slip, attacks, but Cotto holds. Cotto presses attack, Pacman lands left hook, wobbles Cotto a bit.

In Round 2 Pacman jabs then throw a left straight. Cotto fought back, seems to look faster than Pacman. Pacman keeps his hands up and defends self then he connects with left straight and then threw combinations. Cotto appeared to throw a low blow. Pacman rattles Cotto with big left hooks, explosive punches! Cotto seemed a bit hurt! Cotto tries to trap Pacman in the corner but Pacman escapes!

In Round 3 Cotto moves forward while Pacman positions himself at the center of the ring. Cotto connects with a left but then Pacman throws an explosive 1-2-3 combination and downs Cotto! Referee makes a standing count and resumed the fight. Cotto survives, Pacman attacks again. Pacman presses the fight, Cotto recovers. Both fighters unleash big bombs! Pacman jabs inside , connects with his left and darts out. Cotto told to keep punches high, Cotto pushes Pacman’s head down… bell rings! A big Round 3 for Pacman!

In Round 4, Cotto jabs and throws big left, Pacman retreats. Cotto threw body punches then Pacman throws 1-2, then upper cuts and cuts Cotto’s combo. Pacman assaults and Cotto knees seems to wobble. Referee separates them. Pacman on the ropes and waits for Cotto’s attacks then slips and escapes. Cotto is down again 20 seconds left in Round 4! Cotto is saved by the bell!

Cotto presses an attack in Round 5 but Pacman boxes from the distance, being careful. Pacman lands a combo again, forces Cotto to peek-a-boo defense. Pacman boxing beautifully, stays on the ropes. Pacman gets hit a bit, moves to the center, Pacman jabs and connects. Cotto holds, both fighters wrestle a bit and flurry of exchanges was made before the bell rings!

Cotto jabs to start Round 6 and moves forward, Pacman throws a hook, upper cut and connects with a big right hook! Cotto seemed affected but dances away while Pacman presses the action. Cotto, retreats but gets hit with 1-2. Pacman throws 1-2-3, Cotto holds. Cotto lands a jab, uses it effectively. Pacman attacks again! wobbles Cotto a bit. As the round ends, Cotto taps Pacman’s cheek and seemed to say: Good round!

Pacman throws a heavy right, Cotto reels a bit as Round 7 started. Cotto keeps his hands up, moves forward, throws a straight then a hook, Pacman seems unaffected. Pacman moves forward, dictating the pace. Cotto tries to dance away, Pacman hunts Cotto and connects 1-2 before the round ends.

As Round 8 started, Cotto now has bruises under the eyes while Pacquiao was getting confident. Cotto uses the ring to stay away from Pacman who was boxing beautifully. Cotto pecking away but Pacman traps him at the ropes. Cotto receives 1-2-3, before stepping away. Pacman stalks his prey, connects upper cut and hook and traps Cotto in the corner. Pacquiao was under control in Round 8. His combos were connecting as Cotto only counters once in a blue moon.

In Round 9, Cotto jabs again and Pacman hits his gloves together signaling: ‘Come on, fight!’ Cotto attacks with 1-2. Pacman fights back but Cotto holds! Cotto got trapped at the ropes. Cotto’s face is a mess, right eye swelling whle Pacman’s face remains clean. Pacman staks his prey again, Cotto retreats a bit.

Cotto attacks at the start of Round 10 and tries to control the fight. Pacman however keeps his defense and attacks again. Cotto tries to hold but Pacman stays away. Pacman walks forward to hunt Cotto down but Cotto seems always to retreat and uses the ring to stay away from Pacman. Pacman sighs, seems tired of chasing. Pacman picks the pace again. Cotto’s face is really a mess, nose bleeding, right eye puffed and has a small cut in the left brow. Cotto kept running around the ring in Round 10 like 20 times! Viewers ask if he’s trying to gather wind for one big one?

In Round 11 Cotto again continued to box away. The fight has shades of the Cotto-Margarito fight when the Puerto Rican was trying to stay away from Margarito. Pacman connected with 1-2-3-4 punches! Pacman tried to trap Cotto in the corner but Cotto moves away and jogs around. Cotto then jabbed with an apparent “stay away from me punch”. Cotto counter punches but gets boos from the crowd. Pacman was dominating Cotto, using ring generalship.

As Round 12 started, Pacman again hunts Cotto down. Cotto throws a left hook but Pacman catches Cotto with 1-2. Pacman was relentless, 1-2, 1-2! Referee Kenny Bayles steps in, waves off the fight just seconds over 2 minutes in Round 12!

Pacman is now the new WBO welterweight champ!

Cotto embraced and congatulated Pacquiao while officials draped the WBO belt and the WBC diamond belt on Pacman.

SOURCE: ABS-CBN News Online, pacquiao-wins-7th-world-title

By now, the answer to this is clear to more of us: we care because the rising human toll of extreme weather here and abroad is a growing threat to us all. In recent years, many of us have had direct personal experience with the negative impact of climate change: relatives and friends hurt by extreme super typhoons, flooding, drought, famine, and climate-related diseases.

 

Yet, the politics of the day remains divided, delaying the hard work and genuine collaboration required. How bad do things have to get? If we can’t rely on our leaders to act, then we must do what we can and help chip away at the hard work.

 

Goodbranch Vergara is committed to three dimensions of the necessary work ahead:

1) developing practical projects that help lessen the impact of climate change in vulnerable regions of the world

2) developing environmentalist advocates and scholars among minority youth

3) developing online tools that support the work of environmental and “smart development” advocates

 

By working together, we can build practical projects that both promote “smart development” and help prevent natural catastrophe in vulnerable Southeast Asia. By empowering and nurturing the youth to build fulfilling professional careers in the hard sciences, we remove future uncertainty and inaction. By doing our part in building tools, we build deeper value in the facilitative potential of social media.

 

We all need to pay attention and take action in as many of the realistic ways we can. We all have a part to play, and every part each of us contributes — especially when done with commitment — will matter.

 

Probability improves with commitment. Join us. Visit www.goodbranchvergara.ning.com

‘Baguio did Pacquiao well’


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MANILA – “People’s Champ” Manny Pacquiao is back in familiar training ground at the Wild Card Boxing Gym in Los Angeles, California, 5 weeks after shaping up in the Philippines for his November 14 fight against Miguel Cotto.

For several foreign members of Team Pacquiao, the Filipino boxing superstar’s training in Baguio City was beneficial.

“We’re all pleased. I think the fact that we trained in the Philippines, especially in Baguio where we were able to control the crowd,” Canadian adviser Mike Koncz told abs-cbnNEWS.com.

“But more importantly, I think the crowd controlled themselves. So when we asked them to step aside, they did,” he added.

The world’s best pound-for-pound fighter trained for 4 weeks in Baguio City and for several days in Manila.

“Manny was relaxed, and you know when a person does some heavy work, when they’re training for a match or any other type of work, if you’re mentally relaxed you’re gonna put more effort into it,” Koncz went on.

He stated that Pacquiao was much more relaxed training in the Philippines than in a foreign land.

“In the 5 years that I’ve been with Manny, I’ve never seen him put this type of effort into a fight. He always works hard. But it seems to me like it wasn’t work [it was] more like play for him,” noted Koncz.

He added that he would not be surprised if Pacquiao again chooses to train in the Philippines for his next fight.

American trainer Freddie Roach, meantime, said if Pacquiao decides to train in Baguio again, he would be up for it.

“Baguio is very good. The weather is cold and very pleasant. It’s an ideal place for altitude training needed by any fighter to prepare for a bout,” Roach told PhilBoxing.com.

However, he did not say the same about Manila, where his ward trained for almost a week.

“There’s just too much going on in Manila, but we were forced to be here because of the typhoons,” stated Roach.

Pacquiao is slated to train for 2 weeks at Roach’s Wild Card before going to Las Vegas 1 week before the fight to continue training and do promotional activities. – With a report from Eddie G. Alinea and Dennis Principe, PhilBoxing.com

SOURCE: ABS-CBN News Online, %E2%80%98baguio-did-pacquiao-well%E2%80%99

4th storm threatens central and northern Luzon


abs-cbnNEWS.com | 10/28/2009 9:49 AM

 

MANILA – Another potential powerful typhoon is heading towards northern and central Luzon area, the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Wednesday.

Nathaniel Cruz, PAGASA’s weather bureau chief, said the storm with an international name Mirinae may enter the Philippine area of responsibility by late Wednesday night or early morning Thursday.

PAGASA’s website said the storm was still over the Pacific Ocean, 1,640 kilometers east of northern Luzon packed with maximum sustained winds of 85 kilometers per hour and gusts of up to 100 kph. It was moving west northwest at 28 kph.

“We expect the storm to enter the Philippine area of responsibility late tonight or tomorrow morning, if there will be no change in its present course,” Cruz told ANC television.

He said the storm, which has the makings of a strong typhoon, as strong as tropical cyclones Ramil and Pepeng, may make landfall in the Aurora-Isabela area.

Cruz said the two provinces and other areas in northern and central Luzon may feel the effects of Marinae in two days.

Mirinae, which will be named Santi as soon as it enters Philippine territory, is the 4th tropical cyclone to enter the country since tropical storm Ondoy.

Ondoy brought a months-worth of rain, flooding a large part of Metro Manila.

The government’s disaster response agency has counted at least 900 people killed by storms Ondoy and Ramil. Billions worth of property and agriculture products were also damaged by the storms.

SOURCE: ABS-CBN NEWS Online, 4th-storm-threatens-central-and-northern-luzon

Storm damage to hike inflation

By Jun Vallecera and Mia Gonzalez, Business Mirror | 10/27/2009 11:33 PM

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MANILA – The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) and the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) agreed that the coming weeks will see an “uptick” in inflation due to several factors, among which are the massive P23.5-billion damage to agriculture of the recent storms, rising fuel prices and the approaching Christmas season.

BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. said the forecast inflation for the month ranges from a low of 0.8% to as high as 1.7%, which already “incorporates the estimated impact on agricultural output of typhoons Ondoy and Pepeng, as well as the increases in domestic fuel pump prices.”

Whatever the final figure within that range, it is still enough to alter the earlier baselines, although the average for this year should still fall within original target ranges, he added.

Acting Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Augusto Santos traced the expected rise in prices to the growing population, rising output cost and slowly dwindling hectarage planted to rice because of the conversion of rice fields to other crops, urbanization and industrialization.

The fact that inflation had actually fallen steadily from a high of 7.3% in February to a 20-year low of 0.1% in August, moderating to 0.7% in September, is of small consolation to families who must now suffer additional stress with having to deal with higher prices, particularly on food and stagnant income, according to observers.

“While the continued manageable inflation environment provides the flexibility to preserve the stimulus to economic activity, there is a need for circumspection due to additional upside risks to the inflation outlook,” said Tetangco.

He mentioned the upside risks as including increasing signs of recovery in real-sector activity, the extensive macroeconomic stimulus in advanced economies, the prevailing El Niño conditions in the Pacific area, and the petition of the National Power Corp. to increase power rates.

The year’s penultimate Monetary Board meeting is seen to set the tone of monetary-policy crafting over the next 12 months, when the biggest question is how soon or late the BSP’s easing stance should end.

The Australia Reserve Bank has already started the so-called exit process by raising interest rates on concerns of incipient inflation, something that Tetangco does not concern himself too much with at the moment.

Santos also said at a Cabinet meeting at the home of Kampi Rep. Aurelio Gonzales of Pampanga that while local food prices are stable at the moment, certain “threats” remain.

“Food prices in our country surged in 2008 but it has receded this year, 2009. The latest is 2% in September. NSO [National Statistics Office]-Neda still has to come out with its inflation report for October. We expect an uptick in food inflation because of the typhoons,” he said.

He said that of the total Ondoy and Pepeng damage on agriculture of P23.5 billion, P19.7 billion is in palay and P732.5 million in corn. “Palay harvests are thus expected to decrease, which is worsened by the cut in the government’s mandated 90-day rice inventory to 60 days.”

He said the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has reported that “a weakening of the US dollar and the sharp rebound in energy prices could exert upward pressure on international rice prices.”

Agriculture Secretary Arthur Yap told the meeting that there are still rice harvests “coming in” and the mechanisms for private-sector importation are “in place.”

Yap noted that despite the significant impact of the recent typhoons on palay, “it is worthy to note that the prices of well-milled and regular milled rice this year as against last year is even lower.”

“We have enough stocks,” he said, to which President Arroyo added, “We don’t have any shortage. Our worry is the income of the Filipino farmers, but not the supply.”

Yap added that prices of vegetables have been stabilizing, with the exception of native pechay, eggplants and ampalaya; but said the latter two vegetables can be temporarily supplied by the Visayas, Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur.

Santos also said that according to the FAO report,  “a drop in the global demand and credit availability had immediate repercussions, and because of this crisis, rich nations are shying away from the pledges they made before on food aid to poor nations.”

He said that among the Neda recommendations to the Cabinet is to “lend our voice to help convince the rich nations to maintain their food- aid commitments to the poorest countries.”

SOURCE: ABS-CBN News Online, storm-damage-hike-inflation

HIGHLIGHTS
• Typhoon Parma (locally named Pepeng) made landfall on 3 October 2009 and affected more than 338,302 people (70,941 families), with 16 confirmed deaths and two people missing. To date, 85,863 people (19,184 families) are located in 460 evacuation centres, according to the National Disaster Coordinating Council (NDCC).
• Typhoon Parma had a devastating impact on the agriculture sector in Isabela Province, which raises food security concerns, as it is the main producer of corn and second producer of rice in the country, according to the Department of Agriculture.
• Further access to areas affected by Tropical Storm Ketsana (locally named Ondoy) on 26 September, and verification of data, resulted in higher recorded numbers of flood-affected. To date, the floods affected 3,929,030 people (805,740 families), with 295 confirmed deaths and 39 people missing. A total of 335,740 people are sheltered in 559 evacuation shelters.
• Approximately 16,094 houses were destroyed by the Tropical Storm Ketsana and 22,849 houses partially damaged, according to NDCC.
• Food, water, sanitation and hygiene relief remain the highest priorities. Government, IASC and UNDAC assessments of Typhoon Parma and Tropical Storm Ketsana are ongoing. Organisations are requested to coordinate assessments through the NDCC.
• The UN, in consultation with humanitarian partners and donors, has developed a Flash Appeal for $74 million to address needs in 13 sectors: Food, WASH, CCCM, Shelter and Non-Food Items, Health, Nutrition, Child Protection, Education, Early Recovery, Agriculture, Logistics and Emergency Telecommunications, Livelihoods and Coordination. The appeal was launched in Geneva on 6 October, to be followed by a local launch in Manila on 7 October.
• In an all member states meeting at UN HQ New York, ERC Holmes briefed on Asia Pacific disasters including the typhoons Ketsana and Parma in the Philippines. The Permanent Representative of the Philippines to the UN complemented the ERC’s address and thanked member states for their support in the disaster response.

View full  situation report here

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Philippines Faces Second Storm as Typhoon Approaches (Update3)

By Aaron Sheldrick and Francisco Alcuaz Jr.

Oct. 1 (Bloomberg) — Philippines officials said they may order evacuations as Supertyphoon Parma headed for the country, threatening more heavy rains a week after Tropical Storm Ketsana devastated parts of Manila in Luzon and left 277 people dead.

“We will ask local governments to initiate forced evacuations,” Lieutenant Colonel Bartolome Bacarro, an Army battalion commander in Laguna province south of Manila, said in a phone interview. “I have stationed troops around the area, along with rubber boats, in case they are needed.”

Parma’s winds increased to 241 kilometers (150 miles) per hour today, according to the U.S. Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center, making it a Category 4 storm, the second-strongest on the Saffir-Simpson scale. It is forecast to hit northern Luzon on Oct. 3, according to the Philippines weather agency.

The government “should prepare for the worst,” said Jose Bersales, emergency affairs director of World Vision Philippines, which is providing food and aid to 20,000 survivors of Ketsana. Forced evacuations are “very tricky but, if there are clear indicators and political will, they can be done.”

Parma, which is referred to as Pepeng by the Philippines weather agency, was 666 kilometers east of the city of Tacloban southwest of Manila at 8 a.m. local time, the typhoon center said. The storm’s winds were gusting to 296 kph and waves near the eye are as high as 6 meters (19 feet).

Catastrophic Damage

Navy forecasters designated Parma as a supertyphoon when its wind speed reached 240 kph. Its winds are forecast to strengthen to 259 kph by 8 a.m. tomorrow, making it a Category 5 storm, the strongest on the Saffir-Simpson scale of cyclone strength.

Such storms are capable of causing “catastrophic damage” and can blow roofs off residential and industrial buildings, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

The Navy’s five-day forecast indicates Parma will cross Luzon and head toward Taiwan, where more than 600 people were killed in August when Typhoon Morakot blew across the island.

To the east of Parma, Tropical Storm Melor strengthened to a typhoon with winds of 120 kph, according to the Navy center.

Melor was 906 kilometers east of the U.S. territory of Guam at 8 a.m. Manila time today, the typhoon center said. The storm was moving west-northwest at 9 kph.

The storm’s winds are forecast to strengthen to 139 kph within 24 hours. The Navy’s forecast track shows it crossing the island chain of Saipan north of Guam and heading toward the southern islands of Japan during the next five days.

Assessing Needs

The United Nations, which is assessing needs to make an appeal for aid for damage from Tropical Storm Ketsana, said it is making preparations for Parma.

“All the UN agencies involved in the emergency response, including UNICEF and WFP, are gearing up and replenishing stocks of emergency supplies so that they can respond quickly to any intensification of the emergency,” UN resident coordinator Jacqui Baddock said in an e-mail. “Another onslaught of wind and rain will test many of the departments and agencies involved.”

Ketsana blew across Luzon on Sept. 26 dumping a month’s worth of rain in six hours and flooding most of Manila and surrounding areas.

The death toll increased from 246 yesterday, the Philippines disaster council said in its latest report today. More than 2.5 million people were affected by Ketsana and 686,699 are in evacuation centers. Forty-two people are missing.

The Philippine government has declared a “state of calamity” for the Manila metropolitan region and other parts of Luzon island as well as Mindoro island to the south.

“Pre-emptive evacuations will start with the local governments when there is certainty that it will hit,” Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro told reporters in Manila yesterday.

Ketsana smashed into central Vietnam two days ago as a typhoon with winds of 167 kilometers per hour, killing at least 74 people in the country. At least 12 people are missing.

The storm left at least 11 people dead in Cambodia after crossing Vietnam, Agence France-Presse reported yesterday.

Ketsana is the name of a tree in Laos, according to the Hong Kong Observatory, which lists names in use for Pacific storms on its Web site. Parma is the name of a ham and chicken dish in Macau.

To contact the reporters on this story: Aaron Sheldrick in Tokyo at asheldrick@bloomberg.net; Francisco Alcuaz Jr. in Manila at falcuaz@bloomberg.net.

SOURCE: Bloomberg Online, news?pid=20601087&sid=at_I8HhvX6Ss

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…and what is worse, some reports cite 2 more typhoons on their way

check out what appear to be 2 new typhoons about to hit the Philippines http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/sat_images/satpic.jpg

‘Ondoy’ death toll rises to 240; new cyclone to enter RP

GMANews.TV

GMANews.TV – 2 hours 44 minutes ago

Even as the death toll from tropical storm “Ondoy” (international name Ketsana) rose to 240 as of Tuesday morning, the Philippines should brace itself for a new tropical depression heading towards it as early as Tuesday night.

“(It is) expected to enter Philippine area of responsibility either tonight or tomorrow morning,” said Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) head Prisco Nilo during the National Disaster Coordinating Council (NDCC) meeting presided by President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo on Tuesday.

AT A GLANCEIn its Tuesday 6 a.m. advisory, the NDCC reported the extent of damages that tropical storm “Ondoy” has so far inflicted on the country.

Reported dead: 240

NCR: 101 CAR: 3 Region III: 37 Region IV-A: 99

Missing: 37

CAR: 1 Region II: 9 Region III: 7 Region IV:-A: 20 Region IX: 1

Affected Filipinos:

319,881 families 1,872,036 persons

Damaged houses: 3,272

Totally damaged: 2,223 Partially damages: 1,049

Cost of damages: P2,339,620,884

Infrastructure: P1,517,096 Agriculture: P882,524,884

- GMANews.TV Nilo said the tropical depression will be named “Pepeng” once it enters Philippine territory.

He said their “worst-case” scenarios show Pepeng making a landfall in Northern or Central Luzon early next week.

“The general direction is toward north Luzon but it will be [heading] toward Taiwan. (It is) possible to make landfall early next week (but there is) also a chance (it will) move (toward) Taiwan,” he said.

The Pagasa chief said they are monitoring a second weather disturbance following the tropical depression. He described it as a “developing” low-pressure area.

Earlier, Pagasa forecaster Elvie Enriquez said at least one of the new weather disturbances approaching the country has winds of 55 kph at the center.

Ang pasok ay Huwebes paPag patuloy ang west northwest na direction, eastern Luzon (It is expected to enter Philippine territory Thursday [and] it may affect eastern Luzon),” she said.

She said it may affect some areas in eastern Luzon, including Aurora, Quezon, and Isabela provinces. It may affect Metro Manila, as the cyclone may enhance the southwest monsoon and bring more rains, he said.

This early, Defense Secretary and NDCC chairman Gilberto Teodoro Jr. said Tuesday that the government is already preparing for the approaching cyclone. He said the NDCC will meet with regional disaster management units to make the proper preparations.

Yan ay kailangan pagusapan nang masusi ngayon, lalo sa pulong bayan at lungsod ng hardest hit areas (We will have to discuss it in detail especially with officials of areas hardest hit by ‘Ondoy’),” Teodoro said in an interview on dzBB radio.

On Saturday, Ondoy battered Metro Manila and several provinces in the Central Luzon and Calabarzon regions with its total rainfall accounting for the most in recorded history, surpassing the previous record for the metropolis in 1967. – with Kim Tan, GMANews.TV

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